Retail inflation at
3.17% in January
India’s retail inflation rate moderated to 3.17 percent in January from
December’s 3.41 percent, mirroring weak demand as households and
companies, hit by demonetisation-induced cash crunch, put off spending
and investment.
India’s retail inflation rate moderated to 3.17 percent in January from
December’s 3.41 percent, mirroring weak demand as households and
companies, hit by demonetisation- induced cash crunch, put off spending
and investment.
High inflation hurts people’s buying power, while low inflation levels
can indicate poor demand and weak economic activity. The moderation is
sharper on an annualised basis.
Retail inflation had grown 5.69 percent in January, 2016, indicating a
more expansionary economy a year ago.
The latest price data represents slide in shop-end sales, triggered by
the unexpected ban on Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 currency notes in November,
2016.
The currency recall forced families to spend less, depressing the demand
for some goods including perishable products since November, when the
sudden currency recall exercise began.
Consumer food price inflation, a metric to gauge changes in monthly
kitchen costs, also moderated to 0.53 percent percent as compared with
1.37 percent in December 2016.
The price data also held out pointers on demonetisation’s effect on
prices of housing, fuel and light, health, transport and communication,
pan, tobacco and intoxicants, and education that together account for 38
percent of India’s retail inflation basket.
Housing inflation grew to 5.02 percent in January from 4.98 percent in
December.
Discretionary spending on goods and services in the retail inflation
index excluding food and fuel, which constitute 16 percent of the CPI
basket, appear to have been worst affected by restricted access to cash.
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